Alternative Scenarios
Recapping the Main Solution
My main solution is the following:
- Implement the 32-team FBS Playoff field
- Use the New Year's Six Bowl Games as Quarterfinal and Semifinal Games
- Utilize the Top 4 Non-New Year's Six Bowl Games as Consolation Games for 2nd Round Participants
- Add a secondary 32-team playoff, where a total of 22 bowl games will become involved
- Use the 7 remaining Bowl Games as stand-alone games for teams neither selected in the 32-team FBS Playoff nor 32-team College Playoff Crown
However, you may ask what if we want to implement a 32-team field, but for differing solutions? Let's take a look at the different possible solutions other than the main solution that can happen.
32-Team Playoff + Consolation Bowl Games For All FBS Playoff Participants Only
If we only want to implement the 32-team playoff plus consolation bowl games for first round and second round participants, then we would have 12 consolation bowl games total.
Overall Bowl Composition
If we were to move forward with this, here are the following bowl games that would accept eliminated playoff teams:
|
|
|
|---|---|
| Citrus Bowl | Holiday Bowl |
| Alamo Bowl | ReliaQuest Bowl |
|
|
|
| Texas Bowl | Sun Bowl |
| Music City Bowl | Liberty Bowl |
| Pop Tarts Bowl | Duke's Mayo Bowl |
| Gator Bowl | Pinstripe Bowl |
Overall Breakdown
If the consolation bowl games are administered for all eliminated first round and second round playoff participants, this is what the overall postseason composition would have looked like:
| Selected | Total | Percentage | Composition | Number of Postseason Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 138 | 53.6% |
32 Teams to the FBS Playoffs 42 Teams to Bowl Games |
64 Postseason Games |
Further Breakdown
Here is a further breakdown if you are curious:
| Postseason | Selected | Postseason Games |
|---|---|---|
| FBS Playoffs | 32 Teams | 31 Playoff Games + 12 Consolation Bowl Games |
| Bowl Games | 42 Teams | 21 Bowl Games |
| Total | 74 Teams | 64 Postseason Games |
Overall Revenue Model
FBS Conferences, Notre Dame, and FBS Independents will receive the following payouts of the consolation bowl games:
| Bowl Game | FBS Conferences and Notre Dame | Non-Notre Dame FBS Independents |
|---|---|---|
| Citrus Bowl | $10M | $9M |
| Alamo Bowl | $10M | $9M |
| ReliaQuest Bowl | $10M | $9M |
| Holiday Bowl | $10M | $9M |
| Pop-Tarts Bowl | $7.5M | $5M |
| Sun Bowl | $7.5M | $5M |
| Liberty Bowl | $7.5M | $5M |
| Duke's Mayo Bowl | $7.5M | $5M |
| Gator Bowl | $7.5M | $5M |
| Music City Bowl | $7.5M | $5M |
| Texas Bowl | $7.5M | $5M |
| Pinstripe Bowl | $7.5M | $5M |
The total revenue for implementing consolation bowl games for first round and second round participants or second round participants only would be the following (excluding non-Notre Dame FBS Independents):
| Consolation Bowl Games | Total Bowl Games | Total Distribution |
|---|---|---|
| First and Second Round Participants | 12 | $200M |
| Second Round Participants Only | 4 | $88M |
If we only go this route, then the totals would look like the following (excluding non-Notre Dame FBS Independents):
| Postseason System | Total Distribution |
|---|---|
| 32-Team Playoff | $556M |
| 12 Consolation Games for Eliminated First and Second Round Playoff Participants | $200M |
| Total | $756M |
Timing: Consolation bowl games for eliminated playoff participants would be played sometime after Christmas and before around New Year's Day. This maintains the traditional bowl season timeline while integrating playoff participants.
In this scenario, we would still be able to retain a high quality of the top 12 non-New Year’s Six Bowl Games (based on revenue distribution). Basically, you’re still keeping the current quality of the bowl eligible teams while also maintaining the quality of the top non-New Year’s Six Bowl Games. However, we would have to slightly reduce the payout for the consolation bowl games for second round participants. Regardless, you would basically significantly reduce the problem of teams with losing records participating in bowl games (unless more bowl games are added). However, you would still also have the chance of players deciding to sit out of the bowl games after being eliminated from the FBS playoffs. If the secondary playoff system is not implemented, then this solution would do just fine. However, you'll see that the total distribution is less without the secondary playoff system.
32-Team Playoff + Consolation Bowl Games For All FBS Playoff Participants + Secondary Playoff System
Let's say we want to implement the 32-team playoff plus consolation bowl games for first round and second round participants and the secondary playoff system. While the second round consolation bowl games would stay the same, implementing the College Playoff Crown along with the first round consolation bowl games would involve implementing a lineup so we can continue to keep the quality of bowl games in the CPC.
Overall Consolation Bowl Games
In terms of bowl composition, while the bowl games for second round participants are still going to be the same, the bowl composition for the first round is going to be different. Here is how it would look:
| Bowl Game | Tie-In |
|---|---|
| Citrus Bowl | Second Round At-Large |
| Alamo Bowl | Second Round At-Large |
| ReliaQuest Bowl | Second Round At-Large |
| Holiday Bowl | Second Round At-Large |
| Texas Bowl | First Round Highest Rank At-Large |
| Music City Bowl | First Round Highest Rank At-Large |
| Gator Bowl | First Round Highest Rank At-Large |
| Pop-Tarts Bowl | First Round Highest Rank At-Large |
As you can see, only the Texas Bowl, Music City Bowl, Gator Bowl, and Pop-Tarts Bowl would advance to accept first round consolation participants, but only the higher ranked ones. For example, for the first round, if we had chalk (meaning all higher seeds advanced), only the top eight unseeded teams (aka teams ranked 17-24) would be able to get into either the Texas Bowl, Music City Bowl, Gator Bowl, or Pop-Tarts Bowl.
Wildcard Bowl Series
This is where the next part of the first round consolation games are going to come in. The eight lowest ranked teams eliminated in the first round would participate in the Wildcard Bowl Series. The Wildcard Bowl Series is going to be four bowl games where the neutral site is unknown. The four Wildcard Bowl Games are going to be done at pre-determined neutral sites. However, the following sites would not be eligible for any of the four Wildcard Bowl Games:
| Ineligible Sites | |
|---|---|
| Rose Bowl Stadium — Pasadena, CA | |
| Mercedes-Benz Superdome — New Orleans, LA | Hard Rock Stadium — Miami Gardens, FL |
| AT&T Stadium — Arlington, TX | State Farm Stadium — Glendale, AZ |
| Mercedes-Benz Stadium — Atlanta, GA | Camping World Stadium — Orlando, FL |
| Snapdragon Stadium — San Diego, CA | Alamodome — San Antonio, TX |
| NRG Stadium — Houston, TX | Nissan Stadium — Nashville, TN |
| Raymond James Stadium — Tampa, FL | EverBank Stadium — Jacksonville, FL |
These sites are ineligible because they are the sites of either the eight mentioned consolation games or the New Year's Six Bowl Games. Otherwise, any site selected is fair game for the four Wildcard Bowl Games.
College Playoff Crown Bowl Rotation
With the Texas Bowl, Pop-Tarts Bowl, Gator Bowl, and Music City Bowl being promoted as permanent consolation games for the higher ranked first round playoff participants, the bowl rotation in the College Playoff Crown would look like the following:
| College Playoff Crown Bowl Game | Year A | Year B | Year C |
|---|---|---|---|
| Armed Forces Bowl | National College Playoff Semifinal | National College Playoff Quarterfinal | National College Playoff Quarterfinal |
| Duke's Mayo Bowl | National College Playoff Semifinal | National College Playoff Quarterfinal | National College Playoff Quarterfinal |
| Fenway Bowl | National College Playoff Quarterfinal | National College Playoff Semifinal | National College Playoff Quarterfinal |
| Military Bowl | National College Playoff Quarterfinal | National College Playoff Semifinal | National College Playoff Quarterfinal |
| Gasparilla Bowl | National College Playoff Quarterfinal | National College Playoff Quarterfinal | National College Playoff Semifinal |
| 68 Ventures Bowl | National College Playoff Quarterfinal | National College Playoff Quarterfinal | National College Playoff Semifinal |
| Las Vegas Bowl | American College Playoff Semifinal | American College Playoff Quarterfinal | American College Playoff Quarterfinal |
| Birmingham Bowl | American College Playoff Semifinal | American College Playoff Quarterfinal | American College Playoff Quarterfinal |
| Independence Bowl | American College Playoff Quarterfinal | American College Playoff Semifinal | American College Playoff Quarterfinal |
| Rate Bowl | American College Playoff Quarterfinal | American College Playoff Semifinal | American College Playoff Quarterfinal |
| Liberty Bowl | American College Playoff Quarterfinal | American College Playoff Quarterfinal | American College Playoff Semifinal |
| New Mexico Bowl | American College Playoff Quarterfinal | American College Playoff Quarterfinal | American College Playoff Semifinal |
The Pinstripe Bowl and the Sun Bowl are absent from the table because the Sun Bowl would be an annual host of the American College Playoff Championship Game and the Pinstripe Bowl would be an annual host of the National College Playoff Championship Game.
CPC Consolation Lineup
Each consolation bowl game that is part of the College Playoff Crown will still host one participant from the NCP and one participant from the ACP. The following are the bowl games that would take the first round participants of the NCP and ACP:
| Bowl Games | |
|---|---|
| Hawaii Bowl | Frisco Bowl |
| Boca Raton Bowl | Cure Bowl |
| New Orleans Bowl | Arizona Bowl |
| First Responders Bowl | Famous Idaho Potato Bowl |
Overall Breakdown
By implementing four wildcard bowl games for eliminated first round FBS playoff participants as well as 36 out of the 39 currently existing bowl games, that would leave us with about 3 stand-alone bowl games that would take teams that neither made it to the FBS playoffs nor CPC. In total, it would look like the following:
| Selected | Total | Percentage | Composition | Number of Postseason Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 138 | 50.7% |
32 Teams to the FBS Playoffs 32 Teams to the CPC 6 Teams to the Bowl Games |
85 Postseason Games |
Further Breakdown
Here is a further breakdown if you’re curious:
| Postseason | Selected | Postseason Games |
|---|---|---|
| FBS Playoffs | 32 Teams | 31 Playoff Games + 12 Consolation Games |
| College Playoff Crown | 32 Teams | 31 CPC Games + 8 Consolation Bowl Games |
| Bowls | 6 Teams | 3 Bowl Games |
| Total | 70 Teams | 85 Postseason Games |
By implementing the 32-team field solution as well as the consolation bowl games and a secondary playoff system, although we would have 70 teams total that would participate in any of the playoffs, we would decrease the selection percentage to 51.5%. However, after selecting those 64 teams with at least a 0.500 record, we would have 18 more bowl eligible teams, but only six of them would be invited to play in the three remaining stand-alone bowl games. This is likely the right balance of selecting teams with at least 0.500 records that would participate in meaningful postseason games.
Basically, we have 31 FBS playoff games (including the six bowl games hosting two of the last three rounds), plus 12 consolation bowl games for first round and second round FBS playoff participants, 31 College Playoff Crown Games (CPC) Games (including the 14 bowl games that would host the final three rounds), and eight consolation bowl games for the CPC participants. In total, that gives us 85 postseason games to work with.
Overall Revenue Model
For this scenario, while the bowl payouts for first round and second round consolation bowl games would apply, Conferences, Notre Dame, and FBS Independents will get the following payout for each team making the CPC:
| Playoff Round | FBS Conferences and Notre Dame | Other FBS Independents |
|---|---|---|
| Bid to the CPC Playoffs | $3M | Share $1.5M |
| CPC Consolation Bowl | $3M | Share $1.5M |
| NCP and ACP Quarterfinals | $4M | Share $2M |
| NCP and ACP Semifinals | $5M | Share $3M |
| NCP and ACP Championship Game | $6M | Share $4M |
| College Playoff Crown Championship | $8M | Share $7M |
The total distribution for the CPC would be the following (excluding non-Notre Dame FBS Independents):
| CPC Round | Number of Teams | Payout Per Team | Total Distributed |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Round | 32 | $3M | $96M |
| CPC Consolation Bowl | 16 | $3M | $48M |
| NCP and ACP Quarterfinals | 16 | $4M | $64M |
| NCP and ACP Semifinals | 8 | $5M | $40M |
| NCP and ACP Championship Game | 4 | $6M | $24M |
| College Playoff Crown Championship | 2 | $8M | $16M |
| Total Playoff Distribution | $288M | ||
If we go this route, then the totals would look like the following (excluding non-Notre Dame FBS Independents):
| Postseason System | Total Distribution |
|---|---|
| 32-Team Playoff | $556M |
| 12 Consolation Games for Eliminated First and Second Round Playoff Participants | $200M |
| 32-Team CPC + 8 Consolation Bowl Games | $288M |
| Total | $1.044B |
As you can see, with the 32-team playoff field administering 12 consolation bowl games, we see that the quality of the bowls for the CPC decline a bit, resulting in lower payouts for each of the secondary playoff rounds. In addition, the total distribution while doing both is higher than just doing only consolation bowl games for first round and second round 32-team playoff participants.
Alternative Solution: Wildcard Bowl Series for All Eliminated First Round Participants
If we want to do the Wildcard Bowl Series for all eliminated first round participants, that would not be a problem at all.
The following sites would not be eligible for any of the eight Wildcard Bowl Games:
| Ineligible Sites | |
|---|---|
| Rose Bowl Stadium — Pasadena, CA | Mercedes-Benz Superdome — New Orleans, LA |
| AT&T Stadium — Arlington, TX | Hard Rock Stadium — Miami Gardens, FL |
| Mercedes-Benz Stadium — Atlanta, GA | State Farm Stadium — Glendale, AZ |
| Raymond James Stadium — Tampa, FL | Camping World Stadium — Orlando, FL |
| Snapdragon Stadium — San Diego, CA | Alamodome — San Antonio, TX |
These sites are ineligible because they are the sites of either the second round consolation games or the New Year's Six Bowl Games. Otherwise, any site selected is fair game for the eight Wildcard Bowl Games.
In addition, since we would still be adding 8 more postseason games without really increasing the number of teams that participate in the postseason, the postseason breakdown would look like the following:
| Postseason | Selected | Postseason Games |
|---|---|---|
| FBS Playoffs | 32 Teams | 31 Playoff Games + 12 Consolation Games |
| College Playoff Crown | 32 Teams | 31 CPC Games + 8 Consolation Bowl Games |
| Bowls | 14 Teams | 7 Bowl Games |
| Total | 78 Teams | 89 Postseason Games |
The revenue model for the main 32-team FBS playoff field plus the top four non-New Year's Consolation Bowl Games and the current College Playoff Crown Bowl Lineups mentioned in the secondary playoff solution would remain the same. However, for the first round Wildcard Consolation games, the payouts would be a bit different. If we go this route, then the payout for each Wildcard Consolation Bowl Game would look like the following:
| Bowl Game | FBS Conferences and Notre Dame | Non-Notre Dame FBS Independents |
|---|---|---|
| Wildcard Consolation Bowl Game | $8M | $6M |
The totals would look like the following (excluding non-Notre Dame FBS Independents):
| Postseason System | Total Distribution |
|---|---|
| 32-Team Playoff + 4 Consolation Games | $644M |
| 8 Consolation Wildcard Bowl Games for Eliminated First Round Playoff Participants | $128M |
| 32-Team CPC + 8 Consolation Bowl Games | $396M |
| Total | $1.168B |
As you can see, we see that the total payout increased by $60M than the original proposed system. Why is that? Why did the total distribution increase? This is because by making the Wildcard Bowl Games be at any neutral site (except for the mentioned 10 sites), you increase the payout for those bowl games since it can range from any NFL Stadium to a bigger college stadium.
32-Team Playoff Without Consolation Bowl Games For All FBS Playoff Participants + Secondary Playoff System
If there are no consolation bowl games for teams eliminated in the first or second round of the 32-team playoff, the quality of the bowls in the College Playoff Crown would get a massive boost.
College Playoff Crown Bowl Rotation
In this scenario, the Citrus Bowl, Alamo Bowl, Holiday Bowl, and ReliaQuest Bowl would be relegated as bowl lineups for the College Playoff Crown. The bowl rotation in the College Playoff Crown would look like the following:
| College Playoff Crown Bowl Game | Year A | Year B | Year C |
|---|---|---|---|
| ReliaQuest Bowl | National College Playoff Semifinal | National College Playoff Quarterfinal | National College Playoff Quarterfinal |
| Duke's Mayo Bowl | National College Playoff Semifinal | National College Playoff Quarterfinal | National College Playoff Quarterfinal |
| Liberty Bowl | National College Playoff Quarterfinal | National College Playoff Semifinal | National College Playoff Quarterfinal |
| Gator Bowl | National College Playoff Quarterfinal | National College Playoff Semifinal | National College Playoff Quarterfinal |
| Pinstripe Bowl | National College Playoff Quarterfinal | National College Playoff Quarterfinal | National College Playoff Semifinal |
| Las Vegas Bowl | National College Playoff Quarterfinal | National College Playoff Quarterfinal | National College Playoff Semifinal |
| Holiday Bowl | American College Playoff Semifinal | American College Playoff Quarterfinal | American College Playoff Quarterfinal |
| Texas Bowl | American College Playoff Semifinal | American College Playoff Quarterfinal | American College Playoff Quarterfinal |
| Music City Bowl | American College Playoff Quarterfinal | American College Playoff Semifinal | American College Playoff Quarterfinal |
| Pop-Tarts Bowl | American College Playoff Quarterfinal | American College Playoff Semifinal | American College Playoff Quarterfinal |
| Independence Bowl | American College Playoff Quarterfinal | American College Playoff Quarterfinal | American College Playoff Semifinal |
| Sun Bowl | American College Playoff Quarterfinal | American College Playoff Quarterfinal | American College Playoff Semifinal |
The Citrus Bowl and the Alamo Bowl are absent from the table because the Alamo Bowl would be an annual host of the American College Playoff Championship Game and the Citrus Bowl would be an annual host of the National College Playoff Championship Game.
CPC Consolation Lineup
Each consolation bowl game that is part of the College Playoff Crown will still host one participant from the NCP and one participant from the ACP. The following are the bowl games that would take the first round participants of the NCP and ACP:
| Bowl Games | |
|---|---|
| Rate Bowl | Military Bowl |
| Birmingham Bowl | Fenway Bowl |
| Gasparilla Bowl | 68 Ventures Bowl |
| New Mexico Bowl | Armed Forces Bowl |
In total, by implementing the College Playoff Crown, there would be 26 bowl games that would be involved in the playoff. That would leave us with about 13 stand-alone bowl games that would take teams that neither made it to the FBS Playoffs nor CPC.
Overall Breakdown
Without administering the consolation bowl games, by implementing the College Playoff Crown, there would be 28 bowl games that would be involved in the playoff. That would leave us with about 11 stand-alone bowl games that would take teams that neither made it to the FBS Playoffs nor CPC. In total, it would look like the following:
| Selected | Total | Percentage | Composition | Number of Postseason Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 138 | 62.3% |
32 Teams to the FBS Playoffs 32 Teams to the CPC 22 Teams to Bowl Games |
81 Postseason Games |
Further Breakdown
Here is a further breakdown if you’re curious:
| Postseason | Selected | Postseason Games |
|---|---|---|
| FBS Playoffs | 32 Teams | 31 Playoff Games |
| College Playoff Crown | 32 Teams | 31 CPC Games + 8 Consolation Bowl Games |
| Bowl Games | 22 Teams | 11 Bowl Games |
| Total | 86 Teams | 81 Postseason Games |
By implementing the 32-team field solution as well as the secondary playoff plus consolation games, although we would have 64 teams total that would participate in any of the playoffs, there would be 22 more teams that would participate in bowl games. However, after selecting those 64 teams with at least a 0.500 record, we would only be down to around 18 bowl eligible teams remaining. That means that at least four more teams with losing records would be invited to play in bowl games.
Basically, we have 31 FBS playoff games, 31 College Playoff Crown (CPC) Games (including the 14 bowl games that would host the NCP and ACP quarterfinal, semifinal, and championship rounds), eight consolation bowl games for the College Playoff Crown, and 11 more bowl games that are stand-alone to teams who do not make the 32-team field nor the College Playoff Crown. In total, this would still give us 81 postseason games to work with. However, while the quality of bowl games would be great in the College Playoff Crown, that would come at a cost of the quality of the remaining bowl eligible teams.
Revenue Model
The Revenue Model for the revamped College Playoff Crown would look like the following:
| Playoff Round | FBS Conferences and Notre Dame | Other FBS Independents |
|---|---|---|
| Bid to the College Playoff Crown | $5M | Share $3M |
| CPC Consolation Bowl | $6M | Share $4M |
| NCP and ACP Quarterfinals | $7M | Share $4.5M |
| NCP and ACP Semifinals | $8M | Share $5M |
| NCP and ACP Championship Game | $9M | Share $6M |
| College Playoff Crown Championship | $11M | Share $10M |
The total distribution for the CPC would be the following (excluding non-Notre Dame FBS Independents):
| CPC Round | Number of Teams | Payout Per Team | Total Distributed |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Round | 32 | $5M | $160M |
| CPC Consolation Bowl | 16 | $6M | $96M |
| NCP and ACP Quarterfinals | 16 | $7M | $112M |
| NCP and ACP Semifinals | 8 | $8M | $64M |
| NCP and ACP Championship Game | 4 | $9M | $36M |
| College Playoff Crown Championship | 2 | $11M | $22M |
| Total Playoff Distribution | $490M | ||
The totals would look like the following (excluding non-Notre Dame FBS Independents):
| Postseason System | Total Distribution |
|---|---|
| 32-Team Playoff | $556M |
| 32-Team CPC + 8 Consolation Bowl Games | $490M |
| Total | $1.046B |
As you can see, we see that the total payout increased by $6M than the original proposed system. The total distribution increase because the quality of the bowl games became better in the College Playoff Crown. However, because we are also dealing with a very low quality of bowl-eligible teams remaining, a tertiary playoff may need to be added.
Additional Optional Solution: Tertiary Playoff
If a number over 80 teams is still too much, we can incorporate the remaining 11 bowl games into a tertiary 16-team playoff for teams that were neither selected in the 32-team FBS Playoff nor the 32-team College Playoff Crown. The seven bowl games would function as the quarterfinal, semifinal, and championship game for the tertiary playoff. The remaining four bowl games would then function as consolation games for the eliminated first round participants of the 16-team tertiary playoff. However, if at least one of the consolation bowl games becomes discontinued, the consolation bowl slot would function as a Wildcard Bowl Game with a pre-determined neutral site.
In total, it would look like the following:
| Selected | Total | Percentage | Composition | Number of Postseason Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 138 | 58.0% |
32 Teams to the FBS Playoffs 32 Teams to the CPC 16 Teams to the Tertiary Playoff |
89 Postseason Games |
Here is a further breakdown if you’re curious:
| Postseason | Selected | Postseason Games |
|---|---|---|
| FBS Playoffs | 32 Teams | 31 Playoff Games |
| College Playoff Crown | 32 Teams | 31 CPC Games + 8 Consolation Bowl Games |
| Tertiary Playoff | 16 Teams | 15 Tertiary Playoff Games + 4 Consolation Bowl Games |
| Total | 80 Teams | 89 Postseason Games |
Once again, implementing a tertiary playoff is only necessary if there are no consolation bowl games for eliminated first round and second round FBS playoff participants.
Conclusion
What we can get out of this is that the College Playoff Crown could make a certain amount of revenue depending on the bowl games that are available. You'll notice that when the consolation bowl games are not administered, the bowl lineup is the best with very good payouts to each team. However, as we see when the consolation bowl games are not administered for first round and second round participants, we need to find the right balance of which bowls to keep for the College Playoff Crown without risking the quality of the bowl games. Moving at least four bowl games as first round consolation bowl games could lead to the payouts not being as very high for the College Playoff Crown. However, by still retaining very good bowl quality, the payout does not decrease too much.
These scenarios provide alternative scenarios for implementing a 32-team field. However, while these may be the right solution to some, they may not be the right solution to implement at certain times. The reasons for introducing these alternative scenarios is for those who are curious if there are any alternatives.